China → United States

Visitor visa (B1/B2) refusal rate, FY2006–FY2025

FY2025 refusal rate20.21% ▼ -5.16 pts vs FY2024
Global rank#131 of 198 nationalities
vs FY2019+1.99 points, against pre-pandemic
Year-to-year swing±18.41 typical annual move

China's adjusted refusal rate for US visitor (B) visas was 20.21% in FY2025. That ranks 131 of 198 nationalities — higher than 34% of countries. It fell 5.16 points from 25.37% in FY2024. Against FY2019, the last pre-pandemic year published, it is 1.99 points higher. Over the 18 published years its highest was 79.09% (FY2021) and its lowest 8.50% (FY2012). Within East & Southeast Asia it ranks 12 of 19.

For context, across all nationalities in FY2024 the US refused 27.8% of B1/B2 applications and 41.0% of F-1 student applications. Those are worldwide figures — the government does not publish an F-1 refusal rate for China or for any single country. Why not.

The full published history

Adjusted refusal rate (%)0204060802006200920122015202020232025FY17–18 not published20.21%

Get told when this changes

The State Department publishes these figures once a year with no announcement, and has skipped years entirely. We check the source daily and will email you when the number for China moves. No newsletter, no marketing — just the data changing.

Form endpoint not configured — set CAPTURE["form_endpoint"] in src/site_config.py.

Closest peers by current rate

CountryFY2025RankTrend
San Marino (no page)20.00%#132
United Kingdom20.44%#130
Timor-Leste20.45%#129
Peru20.90%#128
Azerbaijan20.91%#127

East & Southeast Asia

CountryFY2025Rank
Laos84.35%#2
Myanmar (Burma)64.19%#26
North Korea (no page)33.33%#95
Mongolia31.28%#100
Philippines30.76%#101
Cambodia30.71%#102
Indonesia26.69%#106
Thailand25.67%#110

Every published year

Fiscal yearRefusal rate Change
FY200624.50%
FY200720.70%-3.80
FY200818.20%-2.50
FY200915.60%-2.60
FY201013.30%-2.30
FY201112.00%-1.30
FY20128.50%-3.50
FY20138.50%+0.00
FY20149.00%+0.50
FY201510.03%+1.03
FY201612.35%+2.32
FY201918.22%+5.87
FY202022.12%+3.90
FY202179.09%+56.97
FY202230.39%-48.70
FY202326.63%-3.76
FY202425.37%-1.26
FY202520.21%-5.16

FY2017 and FY2018 are absent because the State Department never published them.

Source

US Department of State, Calculation of the Adjusted Visa Refusal Rate for Tourist and Business Travelers Under the Guidelines of the Visa Waiver Program, FY2006–FY2025. One PDF per fiscal year. Primary source ↗

The adjusted rate is (refusals − overcomes) ÷ (issuances + refusals − overcomes), counting each applicant once per fiscal year at final status and excluding cases that required a waiver of ineligibility. Rank, change, volatility and peer figures on this page are computed by us from that data and are not published by the government.